I have ranted before about careless use of 0day by seemingly chinese attackers, and I think I have finally understood why someone would use good and nice bugs in such a careless manner:
The bugs are going to expire soon. Or to continue using Dave Aitel's and my terminology: The fish are starting to smell.
ASLR is entering the mainstream with Vista, and while it won't stop any moderately-skilled-but-determined attacker from compromising a server, it will make client side exploits of MSOffice file format parsing bugs a lot harder.
Client-side bugs suffer from a range of difficulties:
- They are inherently one-shot. You send a bad file, and while the user might try to open it multiple times, there is no way the attacker can try different values for anything in order to get control.
- There can not be much pre-attack reconnaissance. Fingerprinting server versions is usually not terribly difficult (if time consuming), and usually one can narrow down the exact version (and most of the times the patch level) of a target before actually shooting valuable 0day down the wire. With client side bugs, it is a lot more difficult to know the exact version of a piece of software running on the other side - one probably has to get access to at least one document created by the target to get any data at all, and even this will usually be a rough guesstimate.
So you're in a situation where you're sitting on heaps of 0day in MSOffice, which, contrary to Vista, was not the biggest (private sector) pentest ever (This sentence contains two inside jokes, and I hope that those who understand them aren't mad at me :-). What do you do with those that are going to be useless under ASLR ? Well, damn, just fire them somewhere, with some really silly phone-home-bots inside. If they bring back information, fine, if not, you have not actually lost much. The phone-home bots are cheap to develop (in contrast to a decent rootkit) and look amateurish enough as to not provoke your ambassador being yelled at.
If you are really lucky, you might actually get your opponent to devote time and resources to countermeasures against MS Office bugs, in the hope they don't realize that work will be taken care of elsewhere. In the meantime, you hone your skills in defeating ASLR through out-of-defined-memory-read-bugs (see some blog post in the next few days).
On a side note, I am terribly happy today. I've had more luck this week than I deserve.